Mar
12
New Horse Racing System available to Horseracingman.com By Marc Chawner
Filed Under Not recommended systems | 1 Comment
I have some Exciting news for The Horseracingman.com forum users……
A new system has been developed that is so new, different and innovative from anything that I have seen before that I am having trouble taking this all on board at the moment. In fact, it is so new that I don’t think the System even has a name yet.
I know that your first thoughts are that you have heard it all before and I quite agree with you. I will tell you a little bit about the system and then I will tell you how you can get involved in this project.
Firstly, I will tell you what the system is NOT. This is NOT a system that has been constructed by visiting the infamous Adrian Massey website, typing in a few variables and coming up with parameters that have worked in the past. I think we all know the outcome of those kind of systems……
This is a system that is based totally on mathematics. The author of the system has built a “Simulator” which, when fed the relevant parameters of each horse within the race can then simulate the actual running of the race. So once the parameters have been fed into the simulator for a race, the author then runs the race through the simulator 5000 times. He then looks at the horse with the best average position in those 5000 races and as long as the Standard Deviation is less than 1 (So that its finishing position is reliable throughout the 5000 races) the horse is selected as a BACK bet.
My initial thoughts, as I am sure yours are, is that there are too many variables within a horse race for there to be any hope of applying any Mathematical/Scientific logic to such a random thing as a horse race.
However, I have seen this system in action and I have seen the results and they are quite amazing. However, I am a very skeptical person and at the moment I have to just put it down to “Beginner’s Luck” and at best I have an “Open Mind” on the system.
Anyway, this is the plan going forward……
I have been asked by the author, for the month of March, to try out the system on a daily basis. My plan is to report my detail findings back to the Horseracingman.com Website. Then, if I think there is some potential for this system, for the month of April, as a special offer to the Horseracingman.com Forum Users, the selections will be made available to the Forum Users at NO cost.
The idea is that, if come the end of April and the system is looking good, it will become available for purchase to a limited number of people. Bearing in mind, that by that time, we would have seen two months worth of results, it will be important to limit the number of followers so to protect its future ability and the prices.
So if you are interested in becoming one of the “Guinea Pigs” for this project then please make your interest known by sending an Email to me at
The “Simulator” now produces, not only BACK trades in the WIN and PLACE Markets, but also LAY trades in the WIN and PLACE Markets.
For all the trades, the author gives the MINIMUM price that the selections should be BACKED at and the MAXIMUM price that the selections should be LAYED at.
-Marc
March 12th.
Ayr 15:20 Overturn BACKED to WIN and WON @ 1.75 (+0.71 Points).
Wolverhampton 19:50 Johnmanderville BACKED to WIN and LOST @ 4.70 (-1.0 Point).
Wincanton 15:10 Brenin Cwmtudu LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 3.20 (+0.95 Points).
Ayr 15:20 Authentic Act LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 10.50 (+0.95 Points).
Ayr 15:55 Harry Flashman LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 4.80 (+0.95 Points).
Wincanton 16:20 Hiddensee LAYED to PLACE and PLACED @ 2.32 (-1.32 Points).
Ayr 16:30 Aint She The Lady LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 4.30 (+0.95 Points).
Ayr 16:30 Nothinbutthetruth LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 2.16 (+0.95 Points).
Ayr 17:05 Janal LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 4.71 (+0.95 Points).
Total for the Day: +4.09 Points.
March 13th.
Wolverhampton 16:00 Il Forno BACKED to WIN and LOST @ 3.20 (-1.0 Point).
Sandown 14:30 Dead Or Alive LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 3.12 (+0.95 Points).
Ayr 15:15 Baaher LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 2.70 (+0.95 Points).
Wolverhampton 15:25 Vitznau LAYED to PLACE and PLACED @ 3.74 (-2.74 Points).
Wolverhampton 16:00 Bird Call LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 4.52 (+0.95 Points).
Chepstow 16:40 Super Martina LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 8.60 (+0.95 Points).
Wolverhampton 17:10 Encircled LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 2.06 (+0.95 Points).
Total for the Day: +1.49 Points.
Total so Far: +5.58 Points.
March 14th.
Market Rasen 15:40 Just Playfull BACKED to WIN and LOST @ 3.02 (-1 Point).
Market Rasen 15:10 Work Boy LAYED to PLACE and PLACED @ 2.00 (-1 Point).
Market Rasen 15:40 Bold Point LAYED to PLACE and PLACED @ 2.49 (-1.49 Points).
Warwick 16:00 Quipe Me Posted LAYED to PLACED for 1.5 Points and LOST (+1.43 Points).
Total for the Day: -2.07 Points.
Total so Far: +3.51 Points.
March 15th.
Stratford 14:10 Ultimate BACKED to WIN and LOST @ 1.99 (-1.0 Point).
Taunton 14:50 Lady An Co LAYED to WIN and WON @ 2.30 (-1.30 Points).
Stratford 15:10 Answer Me LAYED to PLACE and LOST @ 2.68 (+0.95 Points).
Stratford 15:40 Haar LAYED to PLACE and PLACED @ 6.19 (-5.19 Points).
Taunton 15:50 Folie A Deux LAYED to PLACE and PLACED @ 3.30 (-2.30 Points).
Total for the Day: -8.84 Points.
Total so Far: -5.33 Points.
March 16th.
Cheltenham 16:00 Garde Champetre BACKED to WIN @ 2.99 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Cheltenham 15:20 Zaynar LAYED to PLACE @ 2.86 PLACED (-1.86 Points).
Cheltenham 16:00 L’Ami LAYED to PLACE @ 1.81 PLACED (-0.81 Points).
Total for the Day: -3.67 Points.
Total so Far: -9.00 Points.
March 17th.
Huntingdon 14:55 Sandymac BACKED to PLACE @ 3.25 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Huntingdon 16:15 Chapel Flowers BACKED to WIN @ 1.86 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Huntingdon 16:55 Solway Minstrel BACKED to WIN For 2.0 Points LOST (-2.0 Points).
Huntingdon 13:45 Itsawindup LAYED to PLACE @ 3.95 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Huntingdon 13:45 Mycenean Prince LAYED to PLACE @ 3.10 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Huntindon 14:55 Bertenbar LAYED to WIN @ 5.70 LOST +1.0 Point.
Huntingdon 14:55 Ukrainian Star LAYED to PLACE @ 1.90 PLACED (-0.90 Points).
Cheltenham 14:40 Knockara Beau LAYED to PLACE @ 4.50 LOST (+1.0 Point).
Cheltenham 14:40 Burton Port LAYED to PLACE @ 2.84 PLACED (-1.84 Points).
Cheltenham 15:20 Big Zeb LAYED to PLACE @ 2.94 WON (-1.94 Points).
Cheltenham 15:20 Oh Crick LAYED to PLACE @ 8.11 LOST +1.0 Point).
Huntingdon 15:35 Appointment LAYED to PLACE @ 2.32 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Huntingdon 15:35 Elegant Olive LAYED to PLACE @ 3.36 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Huntingdon 16:15 Viable LAYED to PLACE @ 1.96 PLACED (-0.96 Points).
Total for the Day: -2.84 Points.
Total so Far: -11.84 Points.
March 18th.
Hexham 14:20 Bamby BACKED to WIN @ 4.40 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Southwell 15:05 Punching BACKED to WIN @ 2.30 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Hexham 14:20 Devils Delight LAYED to PLACE @ 6.80 LOST (+1.0 Point).
Southwell 15:05 Novay Essjay LAYED to PLACE @ 2.12 WON (-1.12 Points).
Cheltenham 15:20 Sentry Duty LAYED to PLACE @ 4.90 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Cheltenham 15:20 War Of Attrition LAYED to PLACE @ 4.70 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Hexham 16:15 Jimandgary LAYED to PLACE @ 2.42 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Southwell 17:05 Country Road LAYED to PLACE @ 7.36 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Hexham 17:25 Lusento LAYED to PLACE @ 7.22 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Total for the Day: +2.63 Points.
Total so Far: -9.21 Points.
March 19th.
Fakenham 17:30 Conquisto BACKED to WIN @ 1.46 WON (+0.87 Points).
Cheltenham 13:30 Barwell Bridge LAYED to PLACE @ 5.15 LOST (+0.95 Pence).
Cheltenham 13:30 Westlin Winds LAYED to PLACE @ 3.80 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Fakenham 14:20 Igneous LAYED to PLACE @ 5.78 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Cheltenham 15:20 Tricky Trickster LAYED to PLACE @ 2.92 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Lingfield 15:45 Castleburg LAYED to PLACE @ 2.66 PLACED (-1.66 Points).
Lingfield 15:45 Roshina LAYED to PLACE @ 2.20 PLACED (-1.20 Points).
Fakenham 16:55 Motarjm LAYED to PLACE @ 5.00 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Total for the Day: +2.76 Points.
Total so Far: -6.45 Points.
March 20th.
Uttoxeter 13:30 Mohi Rahrere LAYED to PLACE @ 3.33 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Uttoxeter 14:05 Bobby Gee LAYED to PLACE @ 5.80 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Newcastle 15:25 Norminster LAYED to PLACE @ 5.84 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Newcastle 17:10 Follow On LAYED to PLACE @ 7.84 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Total for the Day: +3.80 Points.
Total so Far: -2.65 Points.
March 21st.
Carlisle 15:00 Sinatas BACKED to WIN @ 7.63 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Newton Abbot Royal Prodigy BACKED to WIN @ 4.84 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Carlisle 15:00 Greenbelt LAYED to PLACE @ 2.50 LOST (+1.0 Point).
Newton Abbot Ginolad LAYED to PLACE @ 4.30 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Carlisle 16:10 Solway Blue LAYED to PLACE @ 5.71 PLACED (-4.71 Points).
Carlisle 16:45 Locked Inthepocket LAYED to PLACE @ 2.03 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Total for the Day: -3.34 Points.
Total so Far: -5.99 Points.
March 22nd.
Plumpton 16:30 Willandrich BACKED to WIN @ 2.10 WON (+1.10 Points).
Kelso 14:40 Grand Union LAYED to PLACE @ 3.08 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Plumpton 16:00 Global Strategy LAYED to PLACE @ 4.58 for 0.75 Points PLACED (-2.69 Points).
Plumpton 16:30 Art Exhibition LAYED to PLACE @ 4.60 PLACED (-3.60 Points).
Total for the Day: -4.24 Points.
Total so Far: -10.23 Points.
March 23rd.
Exeter 15:50 War Footing BACKED to WIN @ 5.0 For 1.50 Stakes LOST (-1.50 Points).
Southwell 13:50 Quentin Dex LAYED to PLACE @ 4.02 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Southwell 14:20 Pelo Du Bief LAYED to PLACE @ 6.43 LOST (+0.95).
Exeter 15:50 Atlantic Jane LAYED to PLACE @ 5.10 PLACED (-4.10 Points).
Exeter 15:50 Mewstone LAYED to PLACE @ 4.14 LOST (+1.0 Point).
Kempton 16:15 Jigsaw Dancer LAYED to PLACE @ 3.04 PLACED (-2.04 Points).
Total for the Day: -4.74 Points.
Total so Far: -14.97 Points.
March 24th.
Warwick 16:05 Gift Of The Gods BACKED to WIN @ 5.32 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Warwick 16:40 Appointment BACKED to WIN @ 4.43 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Haydock 17:00 Plunkett BACKED to WIN @ 2.58 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Warwick 17:10 Lemon Silk BACKED to PLACE @ 2.21 PLACED (+1.15 Points).
Hereford 17:20 Whizzaar BACKED to WIN @ 2.36 WON (+1.29 Points).
Kempton 19:20 Wotashirtful BACKED to WIN @ 3.40 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Kempton 19:50 Middle Club BACKED to WIN @ 1.97 WON (+0.92 Points).
Kempton 20:20 Akbabend BACKED to WIN @ 5.95 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -1.64 Points.
Total so Far: -16.61 Points.
March 25th.
Ayr 15:50 Panthers Run BACKED to PLACE @ 2.92 LOST (-1.0 point).
Ayr 16:25 Noght Knight BACKED to PLACE @ 2.26 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Chepstow 16:35 Viking Blond BACKED to WIN For 2.0 Stakes @ 4.24 WON (+6.16 Points).
Kempton 19:20 Point Out BACKED to WIN @ 2.92 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Kempton 20:50 Drizzi BACKED to WIN for 2.0 Stakes @ 5.80 WON (+9.12 Points).
Total for the Day: +12.28 Points.
Total so Far: -4.33 Points.
March 26th.
Lingfield 14:40 Wotashirtful BACKED to WIN For 2.0 Stakes @ 2.14 LOST -2.0 Points.
Carlisle Newman Des Plages BACKED to WIN @ 2.98 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Carlisle 15:55 Storm Surge BACKED to WIN @ 2.94 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Newbury 16:05 Sir Kezbaah BACKED to WIN @ 2.84 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Sedgefield 16:16 Greenbelt BACKED to WIN @ 2.80 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -6.00 Points.
Total so Far: -10.33 Points.
March 27th.
Newbury 14:15 Sure Josie Sure BACKED to WIN @ 10.10 LOST (-1.0 point).
Doncaster 15:10 Penitent LAYED to PLACE For 2.0 Stakes @ 2.33 WON (-2.66 Points).
Total for the Day: -3.66 Points.
Total so Far: -13.99 Points.
March 28th.
Hexham 15:15 Federstar BACKED to WIN @ 6.26 WON (+5.00 Points).
Hexham 16:25 Its Teescomponents BACKED to WIN @ 6.20 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Doncaster 17:15 Faldal BACKED to WIN @ 4.30 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Doncaster 15:35 Merchant Of Dubai LAYED to PLACE For 3.0 Stakes PLACED (-2.13 Points).
Doncaster 15:35 Hidden Brief LAYED to PLACE For 3.0 Stakes PLACED (-2.61 Points).
Total for the Day: -1.74 Points.
Total so Far: -15.73 Points.
March 29th.
No Selections Today.
March 30th.
Market Rasen 14:40 Lightening Rod BACKED to Win @ 2.52 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Fontwell 14:00 Dots Delight LAYED to PLACE @ 2.95 For 1.50 Stakes LOST (+1.43 Points).
Market Rasen 14:10 Ellen Tilley LAYED to PLACE @ 3.37 PLACED (-2.37 Points).
Fontwell 15:00 The Bonus Ball LAYED to PLACE @ 4.42 For 1.50 Stakes LOST (+1.43 Points).
Market Rasen 15:40 Artic Shadow LAYED to PLACE For 1.50 Stakes LOST (+1.43 Points).
Total for the Day: +0.91 Points.
Total so Far: -14.82 Points.
March 31st.
No Selections Today.
April 1st.
Folkestone 16:10 Choral Festival BACKED to WIN @ 11.50 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Folkestone 14:40 Lucky Leigh LAYED to PLACE @ 3.70 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Total for the Day: -0.05 Points.
Total so Far: -14.87 Points.
April 2nd.
No Racing Today.
There have been some modifications to the SIMULATOR System……So we will give this another go.
We will reset everything and start again.
April 27th.
Yarmouth 14:40 Danzoe BACKED to WIN @ 2.50 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Yarmouth 15:40 Atacama Sunrise BACKED to WIN @ 1.64 WON (+0.61 Points).
Total for the Day: -0.39 Points.
April 28th.
Ascot 14:45 Blue Angel BACKED to WIN @ 4.40 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Ascot 16:30 Our Jonathan BACKED to WIN @ 4.19 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -2.00 Points.
Total so Far: -2.39 Points.
April 29th.
Folkestone 15:10 Cornus BACKED to WIN @ 7.60 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Folkestone 15:40 Equinity BACKED to WIN @ 14.39 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Brighton 19:30 Magroom BACKED to WIN @ 3.99 WON (+2.84 Points).
Brighton 20:00 Wreningham BACKED to WIN @ 2.66 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -0.16 Points.
Total so Far: -2.55 Points.
April 30th.
Doncaster 16:10 Murura BACKED to WIN @ 3.03 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -1.00 Points.
Total so Far: -3.55 Points.
May 1st.
Newmarket 14:25 Cleremont BACKED to WIN @ 3.04 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Newmarket 15:40 Blue Jack BACKED to WIN @ 10.0 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Thirsk 16:05 Osteopathic Remedy BACKED to WIN @ 9.14 WON (+7.73 Points).
Newmarket 16:50 Wigmore Hall BACKED to WIN @ 1.67 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Thirsk 17:45 Ryan Style BACKED to WIN @ 6.88 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Doncaster 19:15 Meezaan BACKED to WIN @ 1.67 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: +2.73 Points.
Total so Far: -0.82 Points.
May 2nd.
Newmarket 14:05 Hillview Boy BACKED to WIN @ 12.14 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Hamilton 17:55 Welcome Approach BACKED to WIN @ 7.77 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -2.00 Points.
Total so Far: -2.82 Points.
May 3rd.
Kempton 15:00 Kylladdie BACKED to WIN @ 5.30 WON (+4.09 Points).
Chepstow 15:05 Sparkaway LAYED to PLACE @ 4.00 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Warwick 15:40 Your Gifted LAYED to PLACE @ 2.60 PLACED (-1.60 Points).
Chepstow 16:05 Mustajed BACKED to WIN @ 4.79 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Warwick 16:10 Simla Sunset BACKED to WIN @ 5.05 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Warwick 16:40 Gene Autry BACKED to WIN @ 3.52 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Beverley 16:50 Sir George BACKED to WIN @ 2.68 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -0.57 Points.
Total so Far: -3.39 Points.
May 4th.
Bath 17:30 Desert Strike BACKED to WIN @ 4.90 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Catterick 19:00 Cornus BACKED to WIN @ 8.00 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -2.00 Points.
Total so Far: -5.39 Points.
May 5th.
Southwell 14:25 Cobo Bay BACKED to PLACE @ 2.34 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Chester 14:45 Swingkeel LAYED to PLACE @ 3.49 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Chester 15:15 Fol Hollow BACKED to WIN @ 7.40 LOST (-1.0 Point).
Total for the Day: -1.05 Points.
Total so Far: -6.44 Points.
May 6th.
Chester 13:45 Cairnsmore LAYED to PLACE @ 5.00 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Chester 14:15 Kings Gambit LAYED to PLACE @ 3.38 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Chester 14:15 Sans Frontieres LAYED to PLACED @ 4.19 LOST (+0.95 Points).
Ffos Las 19:30 Mr Hichens BACKED to WIN @ 7.65 WON (+6.32 Points).
Total for the Day: +9.17 Points.
Total so Far: +2.73 Points.
May 7th.
Chester 15:15 Falasteen BACKED to WIN @ 3.40 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Ripon 18:55 Discanti BACKED to WIN @ 3.73 WON (+2.59 Points).
Ripon 19:30 Rosbay BACKED to WIN For 0.5 Stakes @ 14.00 LOST (-0.50 Point).
Total for the Day: +1.09 Points.
Total so Far: +3.82 Points.
May 8th.
Ascot 14:50 Off Chance BACKED to WIN @ 8.50 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Ascot 16:35 Hawridge King BACKED to PLACE @ 4.90 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Ascot 17:10 We Have A Dream BACKED to PLACE @ 3.55 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Total for the Day: -3.00 Points.
Total so Far: +0.82 Points.
May 9th.
No Selections Today.
May 10th.
Brighton 17:10 My Kingdom BACKED to WIN @ 3.97 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Windsor 19:40 Soviet Secret BACKED to WIN @ 2.36 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Total for the Day: -2.00 Points.
Total so Far: -1.18 Points.
May 11th.
Yarmouth 14:50 Harting Hill BACKED to WIN @ 18.56 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Total for the Day: -1.00 Points.
Total so Far: -2.18 Points.
May 12th.
York 14:40 Bikini Babe BACKED to WIN @ 9.20 For Stakes of 0.5 LOST (-0.50 Points).
York 14:40 Bikini Babe BACKED to PLACE @ 2.40 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Bath 20:00 Round Won BACKED to WIN @ 3.70 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Perth 20:20 Storm Prospect BACKED to WIN @ 3.77 LOST (-1.00 point).
Total for the Day: -3.50 Points.
Total so Far: -5.68 Points.
May 13th.
Salisbury 13:55 Zahoo BACKED to WIN @ 4.00 For Stakes of 2.0 LOST (-2.00 Points).
York 15:45 Duchess Dora BACKED to WIN @ 5.56 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Total for the Day: -3.00 Points.
Total so Far: -8.68 Points.
May 14th.
Hamilton 18:50 Murura BACKED to WIN @ 3.80 For Stakes of 2.0 LOST (-2.00 Points).
Total for the Day: -2.00 Points.
Total so Far: -10.68 Points.
May 15th.
Newbury 14:30 Verdant BACKED to WIN @ 2.97 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Total for the Day: -1.00 Points.
Total so Far: -11.68 Points.
May 16th.
No Selections Today.
May 17th.
Bath 16:00 Perfect Class BACKED to WIN @ 5.04 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Total for the Day: -1.00 Points.
Total so Far: -12.68 Points.
May 18th.
Brighton 16:20 Decency BACKED to WIN @ 2.95 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Total for the Day: -1.00 Points.
Total so Far: -13.68 Points.
May 19th.
No Selections Today.
May 20th.
Salisbury 19:05 Sarah’s Art BACKED to WIN @ 14.37 LOST (-1.00 Point).
Total for the Day: -1.00 Points.
Total so Far: -14.68 Points.
Due to the rather “Poor” performance of the System, the trial has temporarily been suspended.
Marc,
This looks like a very interesting system … yes I know time will tell.
I am particularly interested in ‘Place Lays’.
Is there any way the originator of this system could alocate a preferance for selections, so that ‘a bet of the day’ could be shown?
Regards Tony